Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.003326 0.003653 0.004001 0.004402 0.004850 0.005337 0.005907
2026-01-18 0.002752 0.003205 0.003723 0.004362 0.005133 0.006039 0.007190
2026-01-25 0.002403 0.002910 0.003517 0.004303 0.005302 0.006542 0.008214
2026-02-01 0.002184 0.002729 0.003405 0.004317 0.005527 0.007100 0.009330
2026-02-08 0.001986 0.002545 0.003263 0.004262 0.005638 0.007498 0.010256
2026-02-15 0.001810 0.002373 0.003113 0.004173 0.005682 0.007795 0.011051
2026-02-22 0.001701 0.002276 0.003051 0.004194 0.005871 0.008298 0.012188
2026-03-01 0.001635 0.002232 0.003056 0.004303 0.006189 0.009012 0.013713
2026-03-08 0.001523 0.002114 0.002945 0.004233 0.006229 0.009304 0.014594
2026-03-15 0.001422 0.002002 0.002836 0.004152 0.006242 0.009547 0.015414
2026-03-22 0.001346 0.001923 0.002766 0.004125 0.006333 0.009919 0.016484
2026-03-29 0.001294 0.001877 0.002743 0.004167 0.006536 0.010488 0.017959
2026-04-05 0.001219 0.001792 0.002659 0.004112 0.006587 0.010823 0.019088
2026-04-12 0.001153 0.001719 0.002588 0.004075 0.006665 0.011218 0.020391
2026-04-19 0.001090 0.001645 0.002512 0.004021 0.006707 0.011546 0.021600
2026-04-26 0.001046 0.001599 0.002477 0.004034 0.006866 0.012105 0.023343
2026-05-03 0.000993 0.001536 0.002409 0.003983 0.006904 0.012434 0.024648
2026-05-10 0.000939 0.001466 0.002327 0.003901 0.006876 0.012630 0.025688
2026-05-17 0.000907 0.001432 0.002302 0.003920 0.007040 0.013223 0.027691
2026-05-24 0.000891 0.001425 0.002322 0.004021 0.007371 0.014189 0.030697
2026-05-31 0.000849 0.001370 0.002255 0.003956 0.007366 0.014448 0.032053
2026-06-07 0.000808 0.001315 0.002186 0.003882 0.007334 0.014647 0.033287
2026-06-14 0.000777 0.001277 0.002144 0.003856 0.007403 0.015071 0.035156